30-year mortgage rate this week — Above 7.23%
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-01T15:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 14d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 1, 2026, as published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS), is above 7.23%.
Named authority. Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS)
Form the evidence must take. The Freddie Mac PMMS value for Oct 1, 2026, as first published by Freddie Mac. The rules state: 'the first published PMMS value for the specified week' from Freddie Mac's PMMS, published at 12:00 p.m. ET on Thursday.
Does not count.
- Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration
- Any value not from Freddie Mac's first published PMMS for that week
Deadline. Oct 1, 2026
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The Freddie Mac PMMS for Oct 1, 2026 is released at 12:00 p.m. ET, but the current time is before that release. No evidence shows the official Freddie Mac value for that date.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the first published PMMS value for Oct 1, 2026 from Freddie Mac. None of the provided sources contain that official release.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Freddie Mac's first published PMMS for Oct 1, 2026 showing the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate (above or below 7.23%).
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.