US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.4100
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-01T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 13d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.4100
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No source establishes the AAA national average for the relevant date. The available evidence is either about other dates, other regions, or market probabilities, not the required authority's published figure.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the average regular gas price for the United States on Oct 1, 2026, according to AAA, to be strictly greater than $4.4100. The sources do not provide any AAA-published national average for Oct 1, 2026; they only mention state-level prices, general reports, or prediction-market odds.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A AAA publication of the U.S. average regular gas price for Oct 1, 2026 showing a value strictly greater than $4.4100 would settle it.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 13d ago · retrieval: newsrag, pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.