US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.3500
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-06T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 8d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average regular gas price for the United States, as reported by AAA, is strictly greater than $4.3500 on October 6, 2026.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. The evidence must be the official AAA report or data showing the average regular gas price for the United States on October 6, 2026. The rules state 'according to AAA'.
Does not count.
- Any price not strictly greater than $4.3500
- Any price not from AAA
- Any price for a different date
- Any price for a different fuel grade (e.g., premium or diesel)
Deadline. 2026-10-06
- average regular gas prices — The national average price for regular gasoline in the United States as reported by AAA.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
All evidence is from October 5 or earlier and does not provide the AAA-reported national average regular gas price for October 6, 2026, which is the required date.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official AAA report or data showing the average regular gas price for the United States on October 6, 2026. The provided sources are news articles citing AAA, not the official AAA report itself, and none give a price for October 6.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
An official AAA report or data release showing the national average regular gas price for the United States on October 6, 2026, that is strictly greater than $4.3500.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 8d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.