US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.3550
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-06T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 8d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-05T10:54:49
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average regular gas price for the United States is strictly greater than $4.3550 on October 6, 2026, as reported by AAA.
Named authority. AAA (American Automobile Association)
Form the evidence must take. The evidence must be the official average regular gas price for the United States published by AAA (American Automobile Association) for October 6, 2026. The rules state: 'according to AAA.'
Does not count.
- Any price data not from AAA
- Any average not for regular gas
- Any price equal to or less than $4.3550
Deadline. 2026-10-06
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
所有证据都指向10月5日或之前的AAA数据，没有10月6日当天的官方AAA平均价格报告。因此无法确认条件是否已满足。即便10月5日价格$4.36高于门槛，但合同要求的是10月6日，且数据来源并非AAA官方直接发布。
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. 合同要求AAA在2026年10月6日发布的官方美国平均常规汽油价格，且严格大于$4.3550。现有证据均来自新闻媒体对AAA数据的转述，且日期为10月5日或更早（如10月5日$4.36），并非AAA直接发布的10月6日数据，也没有任何来源确认10月6日的实际价格。
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
需要AAA官方（如gasprices.aaa.com）发布的2026年10月6日美国平均常规汽油价格数据，且该数据需严格大于$4.3550。如果在截止时间前出现该数据则可判定；否则截止后若仍未出现则无法满足。
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 8d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.