US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.3650
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-08T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. we have no price history for this contract, so we cannot say whether the market moved before or after the evidence appeared.
- Price reached near-certainty: not recorded — we hold no price history for this contract, which is itself the reason the question cannot be answered
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves to Yes if the average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $4.3650 on Oct 8, 2026, according to AAA.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. The evidence must be AAA's published average regular gas price for the United States for Oct 8, 2026, showing a value strictly greater than $4.3650. The rules name AAA as the determining source.
Does not count.
- Average price exactly $4.3650 or lower
- Prices for a date other than Oct 8, 2026
- Prices from sources other than AAA
- Prices for gasoline grades other than regular
Deadline. Oct 8, 2026
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence of AAA's published national average regular gas price for October 8, 2026, has been provided. All cited sources either report figures for earlier dates or are unrelated.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The resolution requires AAA's published average regular gas price for the United States for October 8, 2026. No source provides that specific figure. Sources show AAA's national averages for earlier dates (Oct 2–7), but not for Oct 8.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
AAA's published average regular gas price for the United States for October 8, 2026, showing a value strictly greater than $4.3650.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 6d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.