US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.3550
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-09T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 5d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average regular gas price for the United States on October 9, 2026, as reported by AAA, is strictly greater than $4.3550.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. The evidence must be the average regular gas price for the United States as reported by AAA. The rules state 'according to AAA', so the evidence must come from AAA's official publication or data release.
Does not count.
- If the price is exactly $4.3550 (not strictly greater)
- If the price is not from AAA
- If the price is for a different date
- If the price is for a different fuel type (e.g., premium, diesel)
Deadline. 2026-10-09
- average regular gas prices for United States — as defined by AAA's reporting of the national average regular gas price
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
All evidence is from October 4–8, 2026, and none reports the AAA national average for October 9, 2026. The condition cannot be confirmed or denied without that specific data.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the average regular gas price for the United States on October 9, 2026, as reported by AAA. None of the provided sources contain AAA's official report for that date.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
AAA's official publication of the national average regular gas price for October 9, 2026, showing a value strictly greater than $4.3550 (for 'already_yes') or equal to or less than $4.3550 (for 'already_no').
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 5d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.