← Decided
US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.3650
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-10-09T03:59 · claim page
undecided
high confidence
not the named source
buy YES
price moved
7 → 95
in the last 48h
bid 0.950 / ask 0.970
3.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
Unknown.
the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty:
5d ago
- Earliest cited source published:
undated
- Price as shown:
not current — not adjudicated.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves to Yes if the average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $4.3650 on Oct 9, 2026, according to AAA.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. Evidence must be AAA's published average regular gas price for the United States for Oct 9, 2026, showing a value strictly greater than $4.3650. The rules state the price must be 'according to AAA'.
Does not count.
- Prices from sources other than AAA, such as EIA or GasBuddy
- Prices for premium or diesel gasoline
- Prices for a date other than Oct 9, 2026
- An average price equal to $4.3650 or lower
Deadline. 2026-10-09
- average regular gas prices for United States — As reported by AAA for regular gasoline for the United States.
- strictly greater than $4.3650 — The price must be above $4.3650, not equal to or below it.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence shows the AAA national average regular gas price for Oct 9, 2026, so it is impossible to determine whether it exceeds $4.3650.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires.
The rules require AAA's published average regular gas price for the United States for October 9, 2026, showing a value strictly greater than $4.3650. None of the provided sources contain that specific figure.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that
alone.
The named authority has not established this.
The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
AAA's published national average regular gas price for the United States for October 9, 2026, showing a value strictly greater than $4.3650.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Giá xăng dầu hôm nay 9/10: Giá dầu tăng ↗
Giá xăng dầu hôm nay 9/10/2026 ghi nhận dầu Brent tăng 5 USD/thùng lên 105,20 USD/thùng. Dầu thô WTI của Mỹ tăng 4,47 USD/thùng lên 92,75 USD/thùng. Trong nước, hầu hết các mặt hàng xăng dầu đều tăng giá.
Average gas price falls across Texas despite rise in oil prices ↗
TYLER, Texas (KETK) -- AAA Texas is reporting a seven cent drop in the state's average gas price since last week, even as global oil prices rise amid the continued war with Iran in the Strait of Hormuz. According to AAA Texas, the statewide average gas price is $3.87 a gallon for regular unleaded ga
Gas prices rising in San Luis Obispo County, find lowest costs ↗
By KAREN VELIE While California gas prices continued increasing last week, the average cost for gas in the United States began dropping. The average price for gas rose one cent to $6.56 a gallon in San Luis Obispo County last week, according to AAA. At $6.38, the average price for a gallon of gas is
October brings a dip in gas prices ↗
The average price of regular unleaded declined by 11 cents nationally to $4.36 today, while the average is New York State is down a penny to $4.47. A year ago, the average price was $3.13 nationally and $3.18 in NYS, AAA reported today. “After a record-setting September, the national average for a g
AAA: Gas Prices Falling, But National Average Still at Record Autumn High ↗
Gas prices remain the highest they’ve ever been for this time of year. According to AAA, even though the national average dropped 5 cents this past week to $4.36, pump prices remain at record highs for autumn. This is the first year the national average has been above $4 per gallon in October. After
Nat. Avg. Gas Price Falls to $4.41 as Crude Oil Prices Ease ↗
The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline dropped nearly 7 cents from last week to $4.41, according to a press release from AAA. This follows a record-setting September at the pump. The monthly average was $4.33, 50 cents higher than the previous September record of $3.83 set in 2023. Cr
AAA: Tennessee gas prices drop 10 cents ↗
Gas prices continued to decline across the state and fell below $4 per gallon last week. The Tennessee Gas Price average is now $3.93 which is 12 cents more expensive than one month ago and $1.18 cents more expensive than one year ago."Many drivers across the state are now seeing local pump prices b
Adjudicated 5d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.