US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.1450
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-07T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 37d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-06T16:17:00
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.1450 on Sep 7, 2026 according to AAA.
Named authority. AAA
Deadline. Sep 7, 2026
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No source from the named authority (AAA) reports the U.S. average regular gas price on September 7, 2026. The only price figure (national average $4.15 from a news article) is for September 6 and is not attributed to AAA.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
An official AAA release or dataset showing the U.S. average regular gas price on September 7, 2026, and confirming whether it is strictly greater than $4.1450.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 37d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.