US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.1600
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-09T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 35d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.1600
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
All evidence concerns gas prices on September 7, 2026 (Labor Day), not the contract's target date of September 9, 2026 ('tomorrow' relative to the current time). Moreover, the reported price of $4.15 is below the 4.1600 threshold. Without any data for the correct date, the condition is undetermined.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires a price above 4.1600 on 'tomorrow' (2026-09-09). The sources only report prices on Labor Day (2026-09-07) around $4.15, which is below the threshold and on a different date. No source provides the national average price for September 9, 2026.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A credible source (e.g., AAA or EIA) reporting the US national average regular gasoline price on September 9, 2026, either above or below 4.1600.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 35d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.