← Decided
US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.1650
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-09-09T03:59 · claim page
undecided
high confidence
not the named source
buy YES
price moved
22 → 95
in the last 48h
bid 0.950 / ask 0.960
4.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved.
the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty:
35d ago
- Earliest cited source published:
2026-09-05T06:00:00
- Price as shown:
not current — not adjudicated.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average regular gas price for the United States as reported by AAA is strictly greater than $4.1650 on September 9, 2026.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. A publication or data release by AAA showing the average regular gas price for the United States on September 9, 2026. The rules state 'according to AAA', so the evidence must come from AAA's official source.
Deadline. 2026-09-09
- average regular gas prices — Presumably the national average price per gallon of regular unleaded gasoline as calculated and reported by AAA. Not further defined in the rules.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
All evidence predates September 9, 2026, and reports national averages around $4.15, which is below the threshold. No source from AAA or otherwise provides the required figure for the specific date of September 9, 2026.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires.
The contract requires AAA's own publication or data release showing the average regular gas price for the United States on September 9, 2026. The provided sources only report AAA's figures for earlier dates (September 5–8, 2026) and none show the September 9 figure.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that
alone.
The named authority has not established this.
The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
AAA's official publication (e.g., on its website or a press release) showing the national average regular gas price for the United States on September 9, 2026, and whether that price is strictly greater than $4.1650.
Sources it was read from · 7 cited
Labour Day 2026 Gas Prices: Average Regular Fuel Hits Record High of $4.15 Amid Iran War Disruption ↗
https://peakoil.com/consumption/labour-day-2026-gas-prices-average-regular-fuel-hits-record-high-of-4-15-amid-iran-war-disruption · 2026-09-08
US motorists faced record Labour Day gasoline prices on Monday, 7 September, with AAA’s national average for regular gasoline reaching $4.1505 a gallon. The holiday price was nearly $1 higher than a year earlier as the conflict involving the United States and Iran continued to disrupt energy markets and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. […]
AAA reports gas prices up 10 cents in past week in NYS with diesel at record high ↗
https://orleanshub.com/aaa-reports-gas-prices-up-10-cents-in-past-week-in-nys-with-diesel-at-record-high · 2026-09-08
The average price for a gallon of gas went up 7 cents nationally to $4.15 and 10 cents in New York State to $4.31 since last Monday, AAA reported today. A year ago the average price in the US was $3.19 a gallon while it was $3.26 in NYS. “Labor Day 2026 brought the highest […] The post AAA reports gas prices up 10 cents in past week in NYS with diesel at record high first appeared on Orleans Hub .
Arizona gas prices for Sept. 6 ↗
https://mohavedailynews.com/arizona-gas-prices-for-sept-6/article_06c4cffc-651d-4d35-abbc-bebafa403990.html · 2026-09-06
National average: $4.15
Gas prices hold steady in most local areas ahead of holiday weekend ↗
https://rdrnews.com/news/state/gas-prices-hold-steady-in-most-local-areas-ahead-of-holiday-weekend/article_05aa65b2-31b9-4830-8aee-7d21ff596cb4.html · 2026-09-05
The statewide gas price average in New Mexico is now $4.04 for a gallon of regular unleaded as of Thursday, according to the AAA New Mexico Weekend Gas Watch. That price is one cent lower than last week and 96…
Georgia gas prices up 11 cents ↗
https://regionalmedianews.com/news/national/energy/georgia-gas-prices-up-11-cents · 2026-09-07
(The Center Square) - Motorists purchasing fuel in Georgia on Labor Day are paying 11 cents more than last week, according to AAA. The average cost of a gallon of regular unleaded gas is $3.89 in Georgia, up 98 cents from this time last year. [...]
Gas prices hit record highs for Labor Day with Colorado climbing above the national average ↗
https://krystal93.com/gas-prices-hit-record-highs-for-labor-day-with-colorado-climbing-above-the-national-average · 2026-09-07
Gas prices in the United States hit record highs this Labor Day weekend. Still, AAA expected millions to travel during the three-day weekend, with Denver listed as the fourth most popular destination in the country. In Colorado, AAA put the average price of regular gas at $4.19, higher than the national average of $4.15. See […] The post Gas prices hit record highs for Labor Day with Colorado climbing above the national average first appeared on Krystal 93 .
Labor Day Gas Prices Reach Record $4.15 National Average ↗
https://queondamagazine.com/labor-day-gas-prices-record-high-2026 · 2026-09-07
Labor Day gas prices reached a holiday record on Monday, September 7. The national average climbed to about $4.15 per gallon of regular gasoline, according to AAA. The price surpassed the previous Labor Day record of $3.82, set in 2012. However, it remains below the all-time national record of $5.02 from June 2022. Labor Day […] La entrada Labor Day Gas Prices Reach Record $4.15 National Average se publicó primero en ¡Que Onda Magazine! .
1 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 35d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.