US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.1950
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-09T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 35d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-07T17:19:44
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.1950
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The evidence shows US national average gas prices at $4.15 on Sep 7–8, below the threshold of 4.1950. No source reports a national average above 4.1950. The market deadline is still in the future, so the condition for 'tomorrow' has not yet been determined.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract does not specify a required form or authority. The condition is simply 'US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.1950'. The evidence does not show that the national average is above 4.1950.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A report from a recognized source (e.g., AAA, EIA, GasBuddy) showing the US national average gas price above $4.1950 on the relevant day (likely Sep 9, 2026).
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 35d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.