US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.2050
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-09T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 35d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $4.2050 on Sep 9, 2026, according to AAA.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. AAA must report/publish the United States average regular gas price for Sep 9, 2026. The rules require the determination be 'according to AAA'.
Does not count.
- Average regular gas prices equal to $4.2050
- Prices reported by any source other than AAA
- Prices for dates other than Sep 9, 2026
Deadline. Sep 9, 2026
- average regular gas prices for United States — As reported by AAA
- strictly greater than — greater than $4.2050, not equal to or below
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No source reports the AAA national average regular gas price for September 9, 2026. The condition is neither confirmed as true nor false.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires AAA to publish the US average regular gas price for September 9, 2026. None of the provided sources show any AAA publication for that date. The most recent AAA-reported national averages are for Labor Day (Sept 7) at $4.15, which is below the threshold, but that is not the correct date.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
AAA publishing its United States average regular gas price for September 9, 2026 on its website (gasprices.aaa.com) or in an official release, showing whether the price is above $4.2050 or not.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 35d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.