polyrag

← Decided

US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.2750

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-10T03:59 · claim page

undecided low confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 51 → 90 in the last 48h bid 0.900 / ask 0.910 9.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.2750

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

All evidence describes gas prices on or around Labor Day (September 7, 2026), but the contract resolves on 'tomorrow' relative to the market close, which is September 10, 2026. No source provides the US national average gas price for that date, so the condition cannot be determined.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires a US national average gas price above 4.2750 on 'tomorrow' (September 10, 2026), reported by an authoritative source (e.g., AAA or EIA). The provided sources discuss prices on Labor Day (September 7) and earlier, not on September 10, and do not cite a single authoritative national average figure for that date.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

A report from an authoritative source (e.g., AAA or EIA) stating the US national average gas price on September 10, 2026, and whether it is above 4.2750.

Sources it was read from

6 retrieved but not cited
US gas prices on track to top $4 per gallon on Labor Day for the first time ever ↗
U.S. gas prices are on track to top $4 per gallon on Labor Day for the first time ever as millions of motorists hit the roads
Labor day gas prices reach record highs ↗
THOUSAND PALMS, Calif. (KESQ) — For the first time ever, the U.S. national average price of gas is above $4 on Labor Day. The national average of $4.15 is 33 cents above the previous Labor Day record of $3.82, which was set in 2012. But in California, gas prices are well above the $4.15 national The
Maryland Labor Day travel brings airport crowds, traffic and record gas prices ↗
Maryland Labor Day travel brings heavy BWI crowds, highway congestion and gas prices above $4 as millions of Americans travel for the holiday.
Gas Prices Now Above $4.25 a Gallon ↗
Average gasoline prices in Pennsylvania have risen 4.9 cents per gallon in the last week, averaging $4.29/g today, according to GasBuddy’s surve...
Gas prices hit record highs for Labor Day with Colorado climbing above the national average ↗
Gas prices in the United States hit record highs this Labor Day weekend. Still, AAA expected millions to travel during the three-day weekend, with Denver listed as the fourth most popular destination in the country. In Colorado, AAA put the average price of regular gas at $4.19, higher than the nati
US Gas Prices Above $4 Reignite Pressure on Purchasing Power ↗
Read later As the Labor Day weekend, celebrated Monday, September 7, draws near, American households are facing a fresh surge in energy prices. Gasoline is expected to exceed $4 per gallon for the first time during this late-summer holiday, while diesel has just hit a record and airline tickets, foo

Adjudicated 34d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.