US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.2800
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-10T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 34d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average regular gas price for the United States, as reported by AAA, is strictly greater than $4.2800 on September 10, 2026.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. The price must be reported by AAA. The rules state: 'according to AAA' – this implies that AAA's official published data (e.g., on their website or in a press release) for that date is the required evidence.
Deadline. 2026-09-10
- average regular gas prices — The average retail price for regular unleaded gasoline across the United States, as calculated and reported by AAA.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The resolution condition requires the average regular gas price as reported by AAA on September 10, 2026. As of the current time (September 9, 2026), no source in the evidence provides AAA's reported price for that date. The condition cannot be determined yet.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require AAA's official published data for September 10, 2026. The sources provided contain AAA's national average for dates around September 5–8, 2026 (around $4.15), but none report the price on September 10, 2026.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
AAA's official published average regular gas price for the United States on September 10, 2026, showing a price strictly greater than $4.2800 (for 'yes') or ≤ $4.2800 (for 'no').
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 34d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.