US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.4700
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-23T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 21d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-22T13:40:22
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.4700
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from AAA, the likely named authority, establishes that the US average gas price is above 4.4700 on the relevant day. The market closes before the end of the trading day on 2026-09-23, so the condition is not yet determinable from available sources.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. Contract requires the average US regular gas price as reported by AAA on the relevant date; no source shows an official AAA national average. Sources include a local AAA report, GasBuddy averages, and third-party articles, none of which satisfy the required AAA report.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
An official AAA press release or data page showing the US average regular gas price for September 23, 2026 (or the relevant date) as being above or below 4.4700, published before the market closes at 2026-09-23T03:59:00Z.
Sources it was read from · 4 cited
2 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 21d ago · retrieval: newsrag, pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.