US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.4750
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-24T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 20d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average regular gas price for the United States, as reported by AAA, is strictly greater than $4.4750 on September 24, 2026.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. The official publication or data release by AAA showing the average regular gas price for the United States on September 24, 2026. The rules state: 'according to AAA'.
Does not count.
- Any price reported by a source other than AAA
- Any price that is not specifically the average regular gas price (e.g., premium, diesel, or regional averages)
Deadline. 2026-09-24
- average regular gas prices — As defined and reported by AAA for the United States, typically the mean of regular unleaded gasoline prices across all states.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The resolution condition is about the AAA-reported national average on September 24, 2026. The current time is early on that day, and no source provides AAA's official price for that specific date. All cited prices are from prior days or are not directly attributed to AAA in the required form.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the average regular gas price as reported by AAA on September 24, 2026. None of the provided sources are from AAA's official publication or data release for that exact date. Several news articles cite AAA figures from earlier dates (Sept 18, 21, etc.) or vague references, but these do not meet the required form of an official AAA report for September 24.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
AAA's official publication or data release showing the U.S. regular gas price on September 24, 2026, such as the Daily Fuel Gauge Report at gasprices.aaa.com or a direct AAA press release for that date.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 20d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.