US gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.4300
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-30T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 14d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average regular gas price for the United States, as reported by AAA, is strictly greater than $4.4300 on September 30, 2026.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. The average regular gas price must be published by AAA (American Automobile Association) for the United States on September 30, 2026. The rules specify 'according to AAA' — that is the sole authoritative source.
Does not count.
- Any price reported by a source other than AAA
- Any price that is not strictly greater than $4.4300
- Any price reported for a different date or for a different fuel type (e.g., diesel, premium)
Deadline. 2026-09-30
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence provides the AAA-reported national average regular gas price for the United States on September 30, 2026, which is the sole condition. The market closed before any such report could be issued, and the available sources do not establish the required figure.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the average regular gas price for the United States to be published by AAA on September 30, 2026. None of the sources show a AAA publication of the national average for that date; they report state or local prices, earlier dates, or non-AAA sources.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A direct publication from AAA (e.g., on its website or via a press release) showing the U.S. average regular gas price for September 30, 2026, and that price being strictly greater than $4.43.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 14d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.