Connecticut gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.4350
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-02T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 12d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-28T16:36:31
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average regular gas price for Connecticut, as reported by AAA, is strictly greater than $4.4350 on Oct 2, 2026.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. AAA's published average regular gas price for Connecticut on Oct 2, 2026; the rules require the price to be 'according to AAA'.
Does not count.
- Average price equal to $4.4350 or below
- Prices for a different state or region
- Prices for fuel grades other than regular
- Prices reported by a source other than AAA
- Prices reported for a date other than Oct 2, 2026
Deadline. Oct 2, 2026
- average regular gas prices for Connecticut — The average price for regular-grade gasoline in Connecticut as published by AAA.
- strictly greater than $4.4350 — Greater than 4.4350, not equal to 4.4350 or lower.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
As of the evidence, AAA reported Connecticut's average regular gas price at $4.49 on Sept 28, 2026, but no AAA figure for Oct 2, 2026 is shown.
The resolution date is Oct 2, 2026, and no source reports AAA's Connecticut average for that date. The condition cannot be established as already met or not met.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require AAA's published average regular gas price for Connecticut on Oct 2, 2026. The evidence only provides a Sept 28, 2026 AAA figure for Connecticut, not the required date.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
AAA's official published daily average regular gas price for Connecticut for Oct 2, 2026, showing whether it is strictly greater than $4.4350.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.