polyrag

← Decided

Connecticut gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.4350

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-02T03:59 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 12 → 93 in the last 48h bid 0.930 / ask 0.940 6.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.

What the contract requires

Condition. The average regular gas price for Connecticut, as reported by AAA, is strictly greater than $4.4350 on Oct 2, 2026.

Named authority. AAA

Form the evidence must take. AAA's published average regular gas price for Connecticut on Oct 2, 2026; the rules require the price to be 'according to AAA'.

Does not count.

Deadline. Oct 2, 2026

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

As of the evidence, AAA reported Connecticut's average regular gas price at $4.49 on Sept 28, 2026, but no AAA figure for Oct 2, 2026 is shown.

The resolution date is Oct 2, 2026, and no source reports AAA's Connecticut average for that date. The condition cannot be established as already met or not met.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require AAA's published average regular gas price for Connecticut on Oct 2, 2026. The evidence only provides a Sept 28, 2026 AAA figure for Connecticut, not the required date.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

AAA's official published daily average regular gas price for Connecticut for Oct 2, 2026, showing whether it is strictly greater than $4.4350.

Sources it was read from · 1 cited

News from AAA: Gasoline report for Sept. 28 ↗
https://tbrnewsmedia.com/news-from-aaa-gasoline-report-for-sept-28 · 2026-09-28
The tri-state gasoline price surge has taken a slight dip as crude oil prices ease some pressure on petroleum markets. The New York City average gas price is $4.56 per gallon, down one cent from last week. Long Island and Connecticut are also down a penny from last week at $4.46 and $4.49 respectively. New Jersey has seen a drop of four cents from a week ago coming in at $4.38, the lowest tri-state price. The national average is the same as last week at $4.47. “Pump prices are taking a breather after a six-week runup driven by soaring oil prices, which remain elevated,” said Robert Sinclair of AAA Northeast. “Despite extremely high prices for this time of year, demand is holding steady with
6 retrieved but not cited
Connecticut heating oil prices climb 86% from a year ago ↗
Connecticut households that heat with oil are facing sharply higher costs as winter approaches. The statewide average price was $5.91 a gallon on Sept. 21, compared with $3.18 during the same week last year, according to the Connecticut Department of Energy and Environmental Protection. That is an i
Gas prices broke records in September. Which WA counties have cheapest options? ↗
AAA breaks down the average price per gallon in each county.
AAA: Gas Prices Dipping Following Record-Setting September ↗
Gas prices have been coming back down, offering some relief for drivers. AAA reports that the national average for a gallon of regular gasoline dropped nearly 7 cents from last week to $4.41. This follows a record-setting September at the pump. The monthly average was $4.33, 50 cents higher than the
National Average Dips Following Record-Setting September ↗
WASHINGTON, DC–The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline dropped nearly 7 cents from...
SD average gas price just 6 cents from matching all-time high ↗
The average price has risen 38 of the past 39 days, increasing 68.9 cents, including 4.5 cents Friday, according to AAA.
AAA Texas: Texas Records Most Expensive September Ever for Gasoline ↗
September Record, Still Below Texas’ All-Time High From June 2022 The statewide gas price average in Texas is $3.94 for a gallon of regular unleaded fuel, according to AAA Texas. That price is two cents less than on this day last week and $1.20 more per gallon compared to this day last year. Of the…

Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.