polyrag

← Decided

Florida gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.1000

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-06T03:59 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 2 → 94 in the last 48h bid 0.940 / ask 0.950 5.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. Florida gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.1000

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

No evidence in the supplied sources addresses gas prices on the resolution date (2026-10-06). All cited articles refer to prices on or before Oct 5, 2026, which cannot establish whether the condition is met for tomorrow.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires Florida gas prices for 'tomorrow' (2026-10-06) to be above $4.10, but all provided sources report prices on earlier dates (Oct 2, Oct 5) and none give data for Oct 6. The form of evidence needed is a specific figure for Oct 6 from a recognized authority (e.g., AAA).

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

A direct report from AAA or another official source stating the Florida average gas price on October 6, 2026, and whether it exceeds $4.10.

Sources it was read from

6 retrieved but not cited
US-NEWS-GAS-PRICES-ARE-ABOVE-4-1-FT.jpg ↗
Retail gasoline prices have risen over the past week in Fort Worth, averaging $4.08 per gallon as of Friday, May 8, 2026.
Florida Gas Prices Fall 29 Cents Over the Week ↗
Florida gas prices declined 29 cents over the past week, with the statewide average reaching $4.08 per gallon Sunday, according to AAA. The average price for regular unleaded gasoline has fallen 34 cents over the past nine days and is now at its lowest level in nearly four weeks. AAA said the decrea
Florida gas prices grow over week ↗
The average gallon of regular gas in Florida was up six cents from a week earlier, even with prices easing over the weekend as stations competed for business.
Gas Prices in Florida Down 29 Cents in 1 Week ↗
The average price of gas in Florida is on the decline after a sharp uptick in recent months, according to data from AAA. A new report issued Monday mo...
Gas Prices Surge in South Florida: A Closer Look by Area ↗
This Monday saw another increase in gas prices across South Florida, with several counties nearing or exceeding the $4 per gallon mark, according t...
Florida Pump Relief: Gas Prices Tumble 29 Cents In A Week ↗
Florida drivers are catching a break at the pump this week after weeks of climbing fuel costs. According to new data from AAA, the state average for a gallon of regular unleaded dropped 29 cents over the past seven days, settling at $4.08 on Sunday. That marks the lowest daily average Florida has lo

Adjudicated 8d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.