Florida gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.000
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-09T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 35d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-04T17:05:00
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average regular gas price for Florida as reported by AAA is strictly greater than $4.000 on September 9, 2026.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. Published data from AAA showing the average regular gas price for Florida. The rules state 'according to AAA', so the evidence must be AAA's official release or data (e.g., their website or press release).
Does not count.
- Price equal to $4.000 exactly
- Price data from any source other than AAA
- Price reported for a different date (e.g., before or after September 9, 2026)
Deadline. September 9, 2026
- average regular gas prices for Florida — The statewide average price per gallon for regular unleaded gasoline in Florida, as reported by AAA.
- strictly greater than $4.000 — A price exceeding $4.000 per gallon; exactly $4.000 does not count.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The resolution date (September 9, 2026) has not yet occurred, and no evidence shows the Florida average regular gas price as reported by AAA on that date. All sources are from before September 9 and do not establish the condition.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require published data from AAA showing the average regular gas price for Florida on September 9, 2026. None of the sources provide AAA's official figure for that date; they report earlier dates or other states.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
AAA's official release or data (e.g., on their website or press release) showing the average regular gas price for Florida on September 9, 2026, and that price being strictly greater than $4.000.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 35d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.