← Decided
New Jersey gas prices tomorrow — Above 4.2700
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-10-09T03:59 · claim page
undecided
high confidence
not the named source
buy YES
price moved
28 → 93
in the last 48h
bid 0.930 / ask 0.940
6.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved.
the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty:
5d ago
- Earliest cited source published:
2026-10-05T13:24:41
- Price as shown:
not current — not adjudicated.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. This market resolves Yes if the average regular gas price for New Jersey is strictly greater than $4.2700 on October 9, 2026, according to AAA.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. Average regular gas prices for New Jersey as reported by AAA for October 9, 2026 must show a value strictly greater than $4.2700. The rules require the determination be 'according to AAA'—AAA's published price data is the required evidence form.
Does not count.
- Average price equal to $4.2700 or lower
- Prices reported by sources other than AAA
- Prices for grades other than regular gasoline
- Prices on dates other than Oct 9, 2026
Deadline. Oct 9, 2026
- average regular gas prices — Not further defined in the rules; interpreted as AAA's published average regular gasoline price for New Jersey.
- strictly greater than $4.2700 — Must be above $4.2700; equal to $4.2700 does not count.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No source in the evidence reports the AAA New Jersey average regular gas price for October 9, 2026, so the resolution condition is not established. The deadline has not yet passed at the current time (2026-10-09T02:57:14Z), and the required AAA figure is not in the record.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires.
The rules require AAA's published average regular gas price for New Jersey on October 9, 2026, strictly above $4.2700. The provided sources do not show any AAA New Jersey average price for that date; they discuss other states, national averages, or unrelated fuel prices.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that
alone.
The named authority has not established this.
The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
AAA's published Daily Fuel Gauge Report (or equivalent official AAA page) for New Jersey on October 9, 2026, showing the average regular gas price and whether it is strictly greater than $4.2700.
Sources it was read from · 7 cited
AAA: Gas Prices Falling, But National Average Still at Record Autumn High ↗
https://wgmd.com/aaa-gas-prices-falling-but-national-average-still-at-record-autumn-high · 2026-10-08
Gas prices remain the highest they’ve ever been for this time of year. According to AAA, even though the national average dropped 5 cents this past week to $4.36, pump prices remain at record highs for autumn. This is the first year the national average has been above $4 per gallon in October. After dipping into the $80 per barrel range for several days, crude oil is back above $90 per barrel. Hurricane Isaias is another factor that could affect gas prices if oil production and refineries in the region are impacted. The Delaware gas price average is $4.19 today, down 13 cents in the last week and $1.29 higher than one year ago. The South Jersey gas price average is $4.20 today, down 9 cents
October brings a dip in gas prices ↗
https://orleanshub.com/october-brings-a-dip-in-gas-prices · 2026-10-05
The average price of regular unleaded declined by 11 cents nationally to $4.36 today, while the average is New York State is down a penny to $4.47. A year ago, the average price was $3.13 nationally and $3.18 in NYS, AAA reported today. “After a record-setting September, the national average for a gallon of regular […] The post October brings a dip in gas prices first appeared on Orleans Hub .
AAA: Tennessee gas prices drop 10 cents ↗
https://mainstreetmediatn.com/articles/cheathamcountyexchange/aaa-tennessee-gas-prices-drop-10-cents · 2026-10-05
Gas prices continued to decline across the state and fell below $4 per gallon last week. The Tennessee Gas Price average is now $3.93 which is 12 cents more expensive than one month ago and $1.18 cents more expensive than one year ago."Many drivers across the state are now seeing local pump prices below $4 per gallon, which is a much […] The post AAA: Tennessee gas prices drop 10 cents first appeared on Main Street Media of Tennessee .
New Mexico’s average gas price sets new September record, but prices finally dropping ↗
https://santafenewmexican.com/news/business/new-mexico-s-average-gas-price-sets-new-september-record-but-prices-finally-dropping/article_2d8fa249-5d5d-40c6-8f4a-f2da42240e6b.html · 2026-10-06
The statewide monthly average for a gallon of gas for September was $4.33 a gallon, far surpassing the previous September high of $3.81 established in 2023.
Giá xăng dầu hôm nay 9/10: Giá dầu tăng ↗
https://thuonghieucongluan.com.vn/gia-xang-dau-hom-nay-9-10-gia-dau-tang-a337337.html · 2026-10-08
Giá xăng dầu hôm nay 9/10/2026 ghi nhận dầu Brent tăng 5 USD/thùng lên 105,20 USD/thùng. Dầu thô WTI của Mỹ tăng 4,47 USD/thùng lên 92,75 USD/thùng. Trong nước, hầu hết các mặt hàng xăng dầu đều tăng giá.
1 retrieved but not cited
2026年10月9日郑州菜油期货行情早报 ↗
2026年10月9日，星期五，郑州商品交易所（CZCE）菜油期货主力OI2701合约，开盘10248元，最新10237元，跌37元，最高10311元，最低10231元，昨结10277元。
Adjudicated 5d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.