polyrag

← Decided

Texas gas prices tomorrow — Above 3.6900

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-09T03:59 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 28 → 92 in the last 48h bid 0.920 / ask 0.950 5.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Named authority. AAA

Form the evidence must take. AAA must publish the average regular gas price for Texas on September 9, 2026 (e.g., via its website or official release). The rules state 'according to AAA'.

Does not count.

Deadline. 2026-09-09

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

AAA reported Texas average regular gas price of $3.6726 as of September 8, 2026, which is below $3.6900; no AAA figure for September 9, 2026 is shown.

The resolution condition is specifically for September 9, 2026 as reported by AAA, and the available evidence only covers September 8, 2026. The September 9 AAA figure has not yet been shown, so the condition is not established either way.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require AAA to publish the average regular gas price for Texas on September 9, 2026. The sources only show AAA's September 8, 2026 Texas average ($3.6726), not a September 9, 2026 AAA publication.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

AAA publishing its Texas average regular gas price for September 9, 2026 (e.g., on gasprices.aaa.com) showing whether it is strictly greater than $3.6900.

Sources it was read from · 3 cited

AAA Fuel Prices - American Automobile Association ↗
https://gasprices.aaa.com/?state=TX
Today's AAA National Average $4.1514 Price as of 9/8/26 Today's AAA Texas Avg. $3.6726 Price as of 9/8/26 County Retail Prices 4.3740 to 3.8080
Texas Gas Prices (September 08, 2026): $3.67/gal and Why | Energy Factbook ↗
https://energyfactbook.com/gas-prices/texas/
Home › Gas prices › Texas Texas Gas Prices and Why They Are What They Are Prices as of September 08, 2026, per AAA · Updated September 08, 2026 As of September 08, 2026, regular gasoline in Texas averages $3.67/gallon (the 2nd-lowest in the U.S.), per AAA — 0.40 below the national average of $4.07. Diesel averages $5.50.
Texas Gas Prices Today — Regular $3.67/gal · Diesel $5.50 ↗
https://fuelwide.com/gas-prices/usa/texas
As of 8 September 2026, regular gasoline in Texas averages $3.67/gal, the state average. Source: Daily fuel gauge report, AAA (a third-party aggregator, published daily).
5 retrieved but not cited
Gas prices hold steady in most local areas ahead of holiday weekend ↗
The statewide gas price average in New Mexico is now $4.04 for a gallon of regular unleaded as of Thursday, according to the AAA New Mexico Weekend Gas Watch. That price is one cent lower than last week and 96…
Texas County’s lowest regular gas price recorded at $3.89 for week ending Aug. 29 ↗
Drivers in Texas County reported a weekly low of $3.89 per gallon for regular gas in the week ending Aug. 29. Read more…
East Texans hit by record-high Labor Day gas prices ↗
TYLER, Texas (KETK) — East Texans are having to save more money to afford gas as AAA Texas reports record-high fuel prices during Labor Day weekend. With much of East Texas off work for Labor Day, some are hopping on the roadways to celebrate the three-day weekend. However, the cheers might come to
AAA Fuel Prices ↗
Today's AAA National Average $4.1514 Price as of 9/8/26
Gas Prices by State (September 08, 2026): Why Prices Vary So Much ... ↗
Average regular gasoline prices for all 50 states and DC as of September 08, 2026, per AAA: California highest at $5.87, Indiana lowest at $3.42. Every state's price decomposed into crude, taxes, and refining.

Adjudicated 35d ago · retrieval: newsrag, pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.