polyrag

← Decided

US gas prices this week — Above 4.146

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-07T03:59 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 19 → 90 in the last 48h bid 0.900 / ask 0.930 7.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Named authority. AAA

Form the evidence must take. The evidence must be the official published average regular gas price from AAA for the date September 7, 2026. The rules state 'according to AAA', so AAA's data is the sole source.

Does not count.

Deadline. 2026-09-07

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

No evidence shows AAA's official national average regular gas price for September 7, 2026. The current time is early on the resolution date and AAA has not yet published the required figure.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official published average regular gas price from AAA for September 7, 2026. None of the sources provide that specific AAA dataset; they only cite local or state averages or other dates.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

AAA's official published national average regular gas price for the United States on September 7, 2026, showing a value strictly greater than $4.146.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited
Gas prices hold steady in most local areas ahead of holiday weekend ↗
The statewide gas price average in New Mexico is now $4.04 for a gallon of regular unleaded as of Thursday, according to the AAA New Mexico Weekend Gas Watch. That price is one cent lower than last week and 96…
Lowest price for regular gas in Adams County at $3.85 in week ending Aug. 29 ↗
The cheapest reported price for a gallon of regular gas in Adams County came in at $3.85 during the week ending Aug. 29. Read more…

Adjudicated 37d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.