polyrag

← Decided

US gas prices this week — Above 4.4800

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-21T03:59 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 10 → 95 in the last 48h bid 0.950 / ask 0.960 4.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. The average regular gas price for the United States, as reported by AAA, is strictly greater than $4.4800 on September 21, 2026.

Named authority. AAA

Form the evidence must take. The evidence must be the official AAA report of the average regular gas price for the United States on that date. The rules state 'according to AAA'.

Does not count.

Deadline. 2026-09-21

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

The resolution condition specifies the price on September 21, 2026, but the current date is September 18, 2026, and no sources report AAA's national average for September 21. Therefore, the condition cannot be assessed yet.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the AAA report of the national average regular gas price specifically for September 21, 2026. All provided evidence is from dates before September 21 and does not report the price for that date.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

An official AAA report or publication showing the average regular gas price for the United States on September 21, 2026, that is strictly greater than $4.4800.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited
‘How are we gonna get through this?’ Americans face tough decisions as diesel and gas prices rise ↗
Gas prices are displayed at a gas station on Sept. 15, 2026, in Chicago, Illinois. Gas prices across the United States continue to rise as the […]
Gasoline prices ↗
By me the price of gas really jumped in the last week. AAA Fuel Prices Up 13 cents in a week. "September 10,2026 WASHINGTON, DC (September 10, 2026) – The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline went up 13 cents since last week to $4.27 as crude oil prices continue climbing...."
AAA: Gas Prices Jump as Crude Oil Rises ↗
(Credit for Photo: Photo Provided with Release Courtesy of AAA East Central) Noah Haswell, Beaver County Radio News (Pittsburgh, PA) Gas prices are 23 cents higher in Western Pennsylvania this week at about $4.54 per gallon, according to AAA East Central’s Gas Price Report. The national average for
AAA reports national gas prices jumped 13 cents from last week ↗
PHILADELPHIA (WPHL) --- Gas prices have jumped about 13 cents in one week nationally, according to AAA. The average right now is around $4.32 nationally, but it's even higher in the Philadelphia area. AAA reported average prices of $4.54 per gallon in Philadelphia, $4.40 in South Jersey and $4.36 in
AAA Texas: September Record Looms As Gas Prices Keep Climbing ↗
The statewide gas price average in Texas is $3.93 for a gallon of regular unleaded fuel, according to AAA Texas. That price is 10 cents more than on this day last week and $1.14 more per gallon compared to this day last year. Of the major metropolitan areas surveyed in Texas, drivers in El…
Gas prices jumped $0.23 in a week across western PA: AAA ↗
(WJET/WFXP)-- The average price for a gallon of gas in western Pennsylvania has gone up 23 cents in the last week, according to the latest update from AAA. As of Monday, Sep. 14, AAA said the average price for gas has risen to $4.537, ranking Pennsylvania as the 10th most expensive gasoline market i
AAA: Gas Prices Continue to Climb as Crude Oil Remains High; Diesel Reaches New Record Highs ↗
Prices at the pump continue to climb. AAA reports that the national average for a gallon of regular gasoline is up 16 cents from last week at $4.43 and more than one dollar higher than it was a year ago. Crude oil remains high, averaging $100 per barrel amid continued volatility in the Strait of Hor
Consumer agency offers tips to save at the pump (Copy) ↗
Average gas prices in South Carolina are above $4 as of Sept. 16, 2026, according to AAA.

Adjudicated 25d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.