polyrag

← Decided

US gas prices this week — Above 4.4400

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-28T03:59 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 30 → 94 in the last 48h bid 0.940 / ask 0.950 5.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. The market resolves to Yes if the average regular gas price for the United States is strictly greater than $4.4400 on September 28, 2026, according to AAA.

Named authority. AAA

Form the evidence must take. Evidence must be AAA's reported/published average regular gas price for the United States for that date. The rules state the price must be 'according to AAA' and must be for 'Sep 28, 2026'.

Does not count.

Deadline. Sep 28, 2026

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

当前日期为2026年9月24日,距截止日期9月28日还有4天,所有证据均非9月28日的AAA平均价格,无法判定条件是否已满足。

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. 规则要求AAA公布的2026年9月28日美国常规汽油平均价格,但现有证据仅涉及9月18日至24日期间的价格,未提供指定日期的AAA数据。

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

AAA公布的2026年9月28日美国常规汽油平均价格(严格大于$4.44)。

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited
Drivers in Tuscola County see lowest regular gas at $4.19 in week ending Sept. 19 ↗
The cheapest reported price for a gallon of regular gas in Tuscola County came in at $4.19 during the week ending Sept. 19. Read more…
Lowest price for regular gas in Anderson County at $3.69 in week ending Sept. 19 ↗
For the week ending Sept. 19, the lowest reported price of regular gas in Anderson County stood at $3.69 per gallon. Read more…
Lowest price for regular gas in Lee County at $3.89 in week ending Sept. 19 ↗
Drivers in Lee County reported a weekly low of $3.89 per gallon for regular gas in the week ending Sept. 19. Read more…
Gas jumps by 16 cents in US in past week with diesel up 28 cents ↗
The average price for regular unleaded gas took another 16-cent jump in the past week to $4.47 a gallon, according to AAA. This is the second straight week regular unleaded week increased by 16 cents nationally. A year ago, the price was $3.18. The New York State average is $4.48, up 9 cents from la
Lowest price for regular gas in Belknap County at $4.06 in week ending Sept. 19 ↗
In Belknap County, the week’s lowest regular gas price was $4.06 per gallon as of the week ending Sept. 19. Read more…
AAA Report: Average Gas Prices Well Above $4 a Gallon ↗
Average gas prices have shot well above $4.00 a gallon today. According to AAA, the National average is $4.47 a gallon. The Ohio average is $4.53 a gallon. Hardin County’s average price is $4.43 a gallon, which is the cheapest in our region. The most expensive in the region is [...]
Diesel New Record High Every Day, When Will Gasoline Follow? ↗
by Mish Shedlock, Mish Talk: An average increase of 1.26 cents per day would mean a new high by the election. Gasoline Price Trends The Gas Buddy national average is 55.4 cents from the June 14, 2022 record price of $5.027 per gallon. The AAA national average gas price is $4.4761 today vs an all tim
Gas jumps another $0.20 on average across western PA: AAA ↗
(WJET/WFXP)-- Gas prices across the western half of the Commonwealth have jumped once again, according to the latest report from AAA. AAA East Central said gas jumped an average of $0.20 to $4.738 per gallon across western Pennsylvania, with national gas prices going up $0.16 on average. While gas p

Adjudicated 19d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.