US gas prices this week — Above 4.4400
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-28T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 19d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves to Yes if the average regular gas price for the United States is strictly greater than $4.4400 on September 28, 2026, according to AAA.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. Evidence must be AAA's reported/published average regular gas price for the United States for that date. The rules state the price must be 'according to AAA' and must be for 'Sep 28, 2026'.
Does not count.
- Average price equal to or less than $4.4400
- Prices reported by sources other than AAA
- Prices for gasoline grades other than regular
- Prices for a state or region rather than the United States average
- Prices reported on a date other than Sep 28, 2026
Deadline. Sep 28, 2026
- average regular gas prices for United States — As determined and reported by AAA; not otherwise defined in the rules.
- strictly greater than $4.4400 — Price must be above $4.4400; exactly $4.4400 or lower does not resolve Yes.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
当前日期为2026年9月24日,距截止日期9月28日还有4天,所有证据均非9月28日的AAA平均价格,无法判定条件是否已满足。
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. 规则要求AAA公布的2026年9月28日美国常规汽油平均价格,但现有证据仅涉及9月18日至24日期间的价格,未提供指定日期的AAA数据。
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
AAA公布的2026年9月28日美国常规汽油平均价格(严格大于$4.44)。
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 19d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.