US gas prices this week — Above 4.4600
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-28T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 19d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The average regular gas price for the United States on September 28, 2026, as reported by AAA, is strictly greater than $4.4600.
Named authority. AAA
Form the evidence must take. The price must be reported by AAA in their official publication or data release. The rules state 'according to AAA', so AAA's own published average regular gas price for the United States on that date is the required evidence.
Deadline. 2026-09-28
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The resolution date (September 28, 2026) has not yet occurred, and no source provides AAA's official average regular gas price for that specific date. All evidence is from before the deadline and cannot establish the condition.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The condition requires AAA's official published average regular gas price for the United States on September 28, 2026. All provided sources are from earlier dates (Sept 20-25) and none report the September 28 price.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
AAA's official publication or data release showing the average regular gas price for the United States on September 28, 2026, and whether it is strictly greater than $4.4600.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 18d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.