polyrag

← Decided

US gas prices this week — Above 4.4760

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-28T03:59 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 55 → 91 in the last 48h bid 0.910 / ask 0.920 8.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. The average regular gas price for the United States, as reported by AAA, is strictly greater than $4.4760 on September 28, 2026.

Named authority. AAA (American Automobile Association)

Form the evidence must take. The price must be published by AAA (American Automobile Association) in its official daily gas price report or data release. The rule states 'according to AAA'.

Does not count.

Deadline. 2026-09-28

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

The resolution condition specifies the price on September 28, 2026. The current evidence only shows prices for earlier dates (September 25 and 26). No source provides the AAA national average price for September 28, 2026.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the price as reported by AAA on September 28, 2026. All provided sources refer to prices on September 25 or September 26, not the specified date.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

An official AAA fuel gauge report or press release dated September 28, 2026, stating the U.S. average regular gas price and confirming it is strictly greater than $4.4760.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited
How gas prices have changed in Texas in the last week ↗
Elen Nika // Shutterstock How gas prices have changed in Texas in the last week Stacker compiled statistics on gas prices in Texas using data from AAA. Gas prices are as of September 25. Texas by the numbers - Gas…
Gas prices at record high ↗
AAA reports the cost of regular gas is on track to set a new September record.
Gasoline prices ↗
By me the price of gas really jumped in the last week. AAA Fuel Prices Up 13 cents in a week. "September 10,2026 WASHINGTON, DC (September 10, 2026) – The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline went up 13 cents since last week to $4.27 as crude oil prices continue climbing...."
Gas has risen 28 cents per gallon in a month, per AAA ↗
Arizona drivers are paying $1.20 more for a gallon of gas than they were a year ago.
SD average gas price just 6 cents from matching all-time high ↗
The average price has risen 38 of the past 39 days, increasing 68.9 cents, including 4.5 cents Friday, according to AAA.
National gas price climbs to $4.48 a gallon, AAA says ↗
The national average price for a gallon of regular gasoline climbed nearly 5 cents over the past week to $4.48, reaching its highest level on record for this time of … The post National gas price climbs to $4.48 a gallon, AAA says appeared first on WRNJ Radio .
AAA: National Average Climbed Nearly Five Cents Last Week ↗
WASHINGTON, D.C. – The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline continues to climb, up nearly 5 cents from last week, according to a press release from AAA. At $4.48 per gallon, this is the highest the national average has ever been for this time of year. Typically, the start of autumn brin
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Adjudicated 17d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.