Libya vs Botswana
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-26T16:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 19d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-24T18:23:34
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Botswana wins the Libya vs Botswana professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Does not count.
- Extra time or penalties deciding the winner
- Game cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away (resolves to fair price instead of Yes/No)
Deadline. The game is originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026; if rescheduled within 48 hours, the market resolves based on the rescheduled game; if cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market resolves to a fair price.
- after 90 minutes plus stoppage time — does not include extra time or penalties
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The match between Libya and Botswana on September 24, 2026 ended in a 2-2 draw.
Multiple reliable sources report that the match ended in a 2-2 draw, so Botswana did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
4 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 17d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.