Cerro Porteno vs CS 2 de Mayo: Spread — CS 2 de Mayo wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-07T22:15 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 8d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-06T00:34:20
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. CS 2 de Mayo wins by more than 1.5 goals (goal difference > 1.5) in the professional APF Division de Honor soccer game against Cerro Porteno originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
Named authority. APF (Asociación Paraguaya de Fútbol) Division de Honor (implied governing body)
Form the evidence must take. unspecified (typically official match result from the league or a recognized sports data provider, but the rules do not specify a required medium or publisher)
Does not count.
- Any goals scored in extra time or penalty shootout do not count
- A win by exactly 1.5 goals (impossible) or by 1 goal does not satisfy the condition
Deadline. Oct 5, 2026 (the originally scheduled date of the game; resolution occurs after the match is played)
- more than 1.5 goals — goal difference > 1.5, i.e., at least 2 goals margin
- after 90 minutes plus stoppage time — regulation time only, not including extra time or penalties
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
CS 2 de Mayo defeated Cerro Porteño 2-0 on October 5, 2026, as reported by the APF (Asociación Paraguaya de Fútbol) on October 6, 2026.
The official APF source confirms a 2-0 victory for CS 2 de Mayo, which is a margin of 2 goals, satisfying the condition of winning by more than 1.5 goals. The evidence is from the named authority and the form is acceptable.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 6d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.