Santos vs Flamengo — Tie
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-10T22:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 5d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-09T00:42:36
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The Santos vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Named authority. Governing League (unnamed in the rules)
Form the evidence must take. Unspecified in the rules: the rules do not name a specific source, publication, or medium; the condition is simply that a tie is 'the result of the Santos vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game ... after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).'
Does not count.
- A result determined by extra time
- A result determined by penalties
- A Santos win or Flamengo win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Game cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away (resolves to fair price, not Yes)
Deadline. 2026-10-08 (original scheduled game date; no explicit resolution deadline stated in the rules)
- Tie — The result of the Santos vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; does not include extra time or penalties.
- originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 — The game date used to identify the match; if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market resolves to a fair price instead of Yes/No.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Santos and Flamengo drew 2-2 on October 8, 2026, in the Brasileirão Série A Round 29 match at Vila Belmiro; Neymar scored two late penalties for Santos.
Multiple independent reports dated October 9, 2026 confirm the Santos vs Flamengo match ended 2-2, which is a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; no extra time or penalty shootout is indicated.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 3d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.