Fluminense vs Coritiba: Spread — Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-11T00:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 5d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-10T01:53:54
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves to Yes if Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Fluminense vs Coritiba professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Does not count.
- Goals scored in extra time
- Goals scored in a penalty shootout
- Fluminense winning by exactly 2 goals (margin of 2 is not more than 2.5)
- Any result other than a Fluminense win by at least 3 goals
Deadline. Oct 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- more than 2.5 goals — Fluminense's winning margin is greater than 2.5 goals, i.e., at least 3 goals.
- 90 minutes plus stoppage time — Regulation play including added time; does not include extra time or penalties.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Fluminense defeated Coritiba 4-0 on October 8, 2026, a margin of 4 goals, which is more than 2.5 goals.
Source [1] reports that Fluminense won 4-0 on the scheduled date, which satisfies the condition of winning by more than 2.5 goals.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 4d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.