Brent crude oil price on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $100
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-24T21:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 19d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-24T05:08:03
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT (i.e., the candlestick ending at 5:00:00 PM EDT, timestamped 4:59 PM) is above 100 USD/Bbl, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
Form the evidence must take. Unspecified. The rules mention 'published data by the specified source agency' but no source agency is named. In practice, the close price must be obtained from a recognized financial data provider (e.g., ICE, Bloomberg, Reuters) for the 1-minute candlestick ending at 5:00 PM EDT on that date. If no data is published for that exact time, the most recently available published data is used.
Does not count.
- Price exactly $100 (not above)
- Any price from a different time interval unless no data is published for the specified time, in which case the most recently available published data is used
Deadline. 2026-09-24T17:00:00-04:00
- close price of the 1-minute candlestick at a given time — the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval (e.g., the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 to 4:59:59 and closes at 5:00:00 PM)
- settlement value rounding — rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
News reports on September 24, 2026 show Brent trading around $102.20–$106.60 at various times, but none provide the required 1-minute candlestick close at 5:00 PM EDT (timestamped 4:59 PM). The specified time is still in the future as of the current time.
The resolution time (5:00 PM EDT / 21:00Z) has not yet occurred as of NOW 20:03:15Z, and none of the sources provide the exact 1-minute candlestick close required by the contract.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the close price of the 1-minute candlestick ending at 5:00:00 PM EDT on September 24, 2026, obtained from a recognized financial data provider. The available sources only report daily settlements or approximate intraday prices, not the exact 1-minute candlestick close at the specified timestamp.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A published ICE/Bloomberg/Reuters 1-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil timestamped 4:59 PM EDT on September 24, 2026, showing the close at 5:00:00 PM EDT as above or below $100.00, after 21:00Z.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 19d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.