Brent crude oil price on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $100.50
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-24T21:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 19d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-24T08:11:19
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil that ends at 5:00:00 PM EDT on September 24, 2026 (i.e., the candlestick for the interval 4:59:00 to 4:59:59 PM EDT) is above 100.50 USD/Bbl after rounding to the nearest 2 decimal places.
Form the evidence must take. The close price of the 1-minute candlestick as published by the specified source agency (not named in the provided rules). The rules state: 'the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval' and 'If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used.' The source agency is not specified in the given rules.
Does not count.
- Using the close price from a candlestick other than the one ending at 5:00:00 PM EDT (e.g., the 5:00 PM candlestick itself reflects trading from 5:00:00 to 5:00:59 and closes at 5:01:00 PM)
- Using a price that is not the close price of the 1-minute candlestick (e.g., open, high, low, or a different timeframe)
- Using unrounded price (the condition is evaluated after rounding to 2 decimal places)
- Price from a source other than the unspecified 'specified source agency' unless that agency published no data for the time, in which case the most recently available published data is used
Deadline. 2026-09-24T17:00:00-04:00 (5:00 PM EDT on September 24, 2026)
- 1-minute candlestick close price — the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval (e.g., for 5:00 PM EDT, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00-4:59:59 and closes at 5:00:00 PM)
- settlement value — rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places
- above 100.50 — strictly greater than 100.50 after rounding to 2 decimals
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
News reports from September 24, 2026 show Brent prices around $102.25–$106.60 at various times, but none establish the 1-minute candlestick close at 5:00:00 PM EDT (21:00:00Z).
The current time is 20:10:38Z, before the 21:00:00Z resolution time, and none of the cited sources report the specific 1-minute candlestick close at 5:00 PM EDT. The reported prices are from other times or daily settlements and do not satisfy the contract's exact condition.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the close price of the 1-minute candlestick ending at 5:00:00 PM EDT, as published by the specified source agency. The evidence only provides daily settlement/closing prices or intraday levels from news articles, not the exact 1-minute candlestick close at the specified time.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A published 1-minute candlestick close for Brent crude oil at 5:00:00 PM EDT on September 24, 2026 (interval 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM EDT) from the specified source agency, showing whether the rounded price is above $100.50.
Sources it was read from · 5 cited
3 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 19d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.