Brent crude oil price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? — Above $101.99
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-02T21:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 11d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-02T03:34:48
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT (i.e., the close of the candlestick ending at that time) is above 101.99 USD/Bbl, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
Form the evidence must take. The close price of the 1-minute candlestick as published by a recognized data provider. The rules do not specify a particular source agency, but state: 'If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used.' Since no source is named, the evidence form is unspecified beyond the requirement of a published 1-minute candlestick close price.
Does not count.
- Prices from candlesticks other than the one ending at 5:00 PM EDT (e.g., the 5:00 PM candlestick closing at 5:01 PM)
- Prices not rounded to 2 decimal places before comparison
- Data from sources not publishing 1-minute candlestick data
Deadline. October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT (the time of the candlestick close; resolution occurs after data is available)
- close price — the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval (e.g., the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM closes at 5:00 PM)
- 1-minute candlestick — a candlestick representing one minute of trading, with the close price being the last traded price in that interval
- above 101.99 — the settlement value (rounded to nearest 2 decimal places) must be strictly greater than 101.99
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence in the supplied sources shows the exact 1-minute candlestick close price for Brent crude oil at the specified time. The closest mention is a futures price at 6:17 PM, which is after the deadline and not the required candlestick close.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Brent crude oil at 5:00 PM EDT on October 2, 2026, as published by a recognized data provider. None of the provided sources contain that specific data point.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A recognized data provider (e.g., ICE, Reuters, Bloomberg) publishing the 1-minute candlestick close price for Brent crude oil at 5:00 PM EDT on October 2, 2026, showing whether it is above $101.99.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 11d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.