BTC price range on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $82,000 to 82,499.99
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-09T21:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 4d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves to Yes if the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) prices before 5 PM EDT on Oct 9, 2026 is between 82,000 and 82,499.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI)
Form the evidence must take. Evidence must be CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) data: 60 RTI prices collected during the last minute before expiration, with the official and final value being the average of those prices. The rules state: 'At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.' No other source (e.g., Google or Coinbase) can substitute.
Does not count.
- Prices from Google, Coinbase, or other non-CF Benchmarks cryptocurrency price sources
- A spot price at exactly 5 PM EDT rather than the 60-second average of BRTI prior to 5 PM EDT
- Prices collected after the 5 PM EDT expiration time
Deadline. 2026-10-09T17:00:00-04:00
- BRTI — CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index
- official and final value — The average of the 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No source establishes the BRTI-based Bitcoin average at the resolution time, so the condition is not confirmed as met or unmet. The market's 94% bid/ask probability is not evidence of the actual price.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official and final value to be the simple average of the 60 CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) prices collected in the last minute before 5 PM EDT on Oct 9, 2026. The retrieved sources contain no such BRTI data for BTC; source [1] only describes the analogous CF Benchmarks RTI methodology for XRP on Oct 7, 2026, and the other sources are unrelated.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Official CF Benchmarks BRTI data showing the average of the 60 Bitcoin Real-Time Index prices collected immediately before 17:00 EDT on 2026-10-09, with that average falling either within $82,000–$82,499.99 or outside that range.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 4d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.