polyrag

← Decided

BTC 15 min · $78,585.41 target — Target Price: $78,585.41

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-08-30T21:00

undecided low confidence not the named source buy YES bid 0.910 / ask 0.915 8.5c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. None.

What the contract requires

No criteria were extracted for this contract.

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

No evidence confirms that Bitcoin's price reached exactly $78,585.41 on a 15-minute chart before the deadline. The closest mention is an intraday high of $78,960 (source 1), but it does not specify the timeframe or exact price target.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited

Adjudicated 44d ago. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.