polyrag

← Decided

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 7am EDT? — $78,100 or above

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-08-31T11:00

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES bid 0.940 / ask 0.950 5.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. None.

What the contract requires

No criteria were extracted for this contract.

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

The resolution criteria require the simple average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) for the sixty seconds before 7 AM EDT on Aug 31, 2026. None of the provided sources cite CF Benchmarks or their BRTI data; they report prices from other sources like Armenian news (b24.am), Turkish news (gazetekritik), etc. Therefore, the condition is not established by the available evidence.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited

Adjudicated 43d ago. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.