polyrag

← Decided

BTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 2pm EDT? — $78,400 or above

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-08-31T18:00

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES bid 0.900 / ask 0.910 9.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. None.

What the contract requires

No criteria were extracted for this contract.

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

The condition refers to a future time (2pm EDT on Aug 31, 2026) which has not yet occurred. The current time (17:42 UTC) is before the deadline, so no evidence can establish the price at that time.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

Sources it was read from

5 retrieved but not cited

Adjudicated 43d ago. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.