BTC price on Oct 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $84,500 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-01T21:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 12d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the sixty one-second readings of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in the minute before 5 PM EDT on October 1, 2026 is above 84499.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks
Form the evidence must take. Official CF Benchmarks data for the BRTI at that time, specifically the 60 one-second prices from the last minute before expiration, as published by CF Benchmarks. The rules state: 'the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'
Does not count.
- Any price data from sources other than CF Benchmarks, such as Google or Coinbase, as the rules explicitly state they are not used for determination.
Deadline. 2026-10-01T17:00:00-04:00
- simple average — arithmetic mean
- sixty seconds — 60 one-second readings
- above 84499.99 — strictly greater than 84499.99
- BRTI — Bitcoin Real-Time Index by CF Benchmarks
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The deadline (5 PM EDT on October 1, 2026) has not yet passed at the current time (20:41:30Z), and no official CF Benchmarks data for that minute has been presented. Therefore, the condition cannot be determined as already met or not met.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the simple average of 60 one-second readings of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in the minute before 5 PM EDT on October 1, 2026. No evidence from CF Benchmarks has been provided; the only price data comes from OKX (source [1]), which is not the named authority.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Official CF Benchmarks publication of the BRTI average for the minute before 5 PM EDT on October 1, 2026, showing whether the average is above 84499.99.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.