BTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 1am EDT? — $86,200 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-02T05:00
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 12d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 1 AM EDT on October 2, 2026 is above 86199.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks (Bitcoin Real-Time Index - BRTI)
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected at each second during the last minute before expiration, published by CF Benchmarks. The rules state: 'the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'
Does not count.
- Price data from Google, Coinbase, or any source other than CF Benchmarks' BRTI is not determinative
- Any price not collected at the specific one-second intervals in the final minute before 1 AM EDT
Deadline. 2026-10-02T01:00:00-04:00 (1 AM EDT on Oct 2, 2026)
- simple average of the sixty seconds — the arithmetic mean of 60 RTI prices, one per second, for the 60 seconds immediately before 1 AM EDT
- above 86199.99 — greater than 86199.99, i.e., at least 86200
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The condition refers to a period that has not yet occurred (the minute before 1 AM EDT on Oct 2, 2026, which is still in the future relative to the current time). Therefore, it cannot be established that the condition has been met.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the simple average of 60 RTI prices from CF Benchmarks for the minute before 1 AM EDT on Oct 2, 2026. No such data from CF Benchmarks is provided in the evidence.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
CF Benchmarks publishing the BRTI average for the 60 seconds before 1 AM EDT on Oct 2, 2026, after that time has passed.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.