BTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 11am EDT? — $86,000 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-02T15:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 11d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the sixty one-second readings of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) from 10:59:00 to 10:59:59 EDT on October 2, 2026 is above 85999.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) during the last minute before expiration. The rules state: 'the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'
Does not count.
- Prices from sources other than CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), such as Google or Coinbase, do not count.
Deadline. 2026-10-02T11:00:00-04:00
- simple average of the sixty seconds — the arithmetic mean of 60 one-second RTI prices from the last minute before 11:00 AM EDT
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from the designated authority (CF Benchmarks) or any source showing the exact BRTI average for the required minute has been provided. General price commentary is insufficient.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the simple average of 60 one-second readings of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) from 10:59:00 to 10:59:59 EDT on Oct 2, 2026. No source provides that average; only a general news article mentions BTC price in the mid-$80,000 range, which does not match the required form.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The official CF Benchmarks BRTI average for the 60 seconds ending at 10:59:59 EDT on Oct 2, 2026, as published by CF Benchmarks.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 11d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.