BTC price on Oct 5, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $85,750 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-05T21:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 8d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT on Oct 5, 2026 is above 85749.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration, as published by CF Benchmarks. The rules state: 'the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'
Does not count.
- Price data from sources other than CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), such as Google or Coinbase, are not used to determine the outcome.
Deadline. 2026-10-05T17:00:00-04:00
- simple average of the sixty seconds — the average of 60 one-second readings of the BRTI taken during the minute before 5 PM EDT
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The deadline is 2026-10-05T21:00:00Z and the current time is 2026-10-05T20:59:38Z, so the minute over which the average is computed has not yet fully elapsed. Furthermore, no source from the named authority (CF Benchmarks) has been cited; all provided evidence is from third-party news outlets.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The resolution requires the official CF Benchmarks BRTI average of 60 consecutive one-second readings in the last minute before 5 PM EDT. No such data from CF Benchmarks has been provided; the supplied sources are general news articles that do not contain the required form of evidence.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The official CF Benchmarks BRTI average (the simple average of 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before 5 PM EDT on Oct 5, 2026) published by CF Benchmarks, showing whether that average is above or below 85749.99.
Sources it was read from
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 8d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.