polyrag

← Decided

BTC price on Oct 6, 2026 at 5am EDT? — $85,900 or above

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-06T09:00 · claim page

undecided low confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 6 → 91 in the last 48h bid 0.910 / ask 0.930 7.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. The simple average of the 60 one-second CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) prices collected during the last minute before 5:00 AM EDT on Oct 6, 2026 is greater than 85899.99 (i.e., $85,900 or above).

Named authority. CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI)

Form the evidence must take. The official and final value must be the average of 60 BRTI prices collected by CF Benchmarks in the last minute before expiration. The rules state: 'the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)' and '60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.' A Google or Coinbase price is not sufficient; the value must come from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI).

Does not count.

Deadline. 2026-10-06T05:00:00-04:00 (5:00 AM EDT on Oct 6, 2026)

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

no sources retrieved

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

Sources it was read from

No sources were retrieved. This reading has no evidence behind it.

Adjudicated 7d ago. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.