BTC price on Oct 7, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $84,000 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-07T21:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 7d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Named authority. CF Benchmarks (via its Bitcoin Real-Time Index BRTI)
Form the evidence must take. The price is based on CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI). The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration, as published by CF Benchmarks. The rules state: 'the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI).' No specific medium is mandated, but the data must originate from CF Benchmarks.
Does not count.
- Any price from Google, Coinbase, or other non‑CF Benchmarks sources
- A simple average exactly equal to 83,999.99 (must be above, not equal)
Deadline. 2026-10-07T17:00:00-04:00
- simple average — the sum of the 60 one‑second BRTI values divided by 60
- sixty seconds — the 60 one‑second readings ending at 5:00:00 PM EDT on October 7, 2026
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The deadline (5pm EDT on Oct 7, 2026) has not yet passed as of the current time (19:22:45Z), and no evidence from CF Benchmarks or any source establishes the required average.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The resolution criteria require the simple average of 60 second-level BRTI values from CF Benchmarks for the minute before 5:00 PM EDT on October 7, 2026. None of the provided sources contain data from CF Benchmarks or reference the BRTI average for that specific time.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Official publication by CF Benchmarks of the BRTI average for the 60 seconds before
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 6d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.