← Decided
BTC price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $81,500 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-10-08T21:00 · claim page
undecided
high confidence
not the named source
buy NO
price moved
93 → 7
in the last 48h
bid 0.070 / ask 0.080
7.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved.
the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty:
6d ago
- Earliest cited source published:
2026-10-03T12:15:55
- Price as shown:
not current — not adjudicated.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT on October 8, 2026 is above 81,499.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks
Form the evidence must take. The price must be based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, as published by CF Benchmarks.
Does not count.
- Price data from sources other than CF Benchmarks' RTI, such as Google or Coinbase, do not count for resolution
Deadline. 2026-10-08T17:00:00-04:00
- simple average — the arithmetic mean of the 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration
- sixty seconds — the 60 individual RTI prices collected each second in the minute before 5 PM EDT
- BRTI — CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The current time is before the deadline (20:23:16Z vs 21:00:00Z), and the evidence contains no CF Benchmarks BRTI data for the relevant minute. The cited articles concern XRP prediction markets and general BTC price reports, not the specific BTC BRTI average at 5 PM EDT on Oct 8, 2026.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires.
The rules require the official 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in the minute before 5 PM EDT on 2026-10-08. None of the sources provide any CF Benchmarks RTI price data for that window, or any CF Benchmarks publication of the average.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that
alone.
The named authority has not established this.
The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A CF Benchmarks publication (or an official CF Benchmarks RTI data feed) showing the 60 one-second BRTI values from 16:59:00 to 17:00:00 EDT on 2026-10-08 and their average, or an explicit statement from CF Benchmarks of that average.
Sources it was read from · 5 cited
XRP-Vorhersagemarkt: Abrechnung nach CF Benchmarks RTI im 60-Sekunden-Fenster ↗
https://it-boltwise.de/xrp-vorhersagemarkt-abrechnung-nach-cf-benchmarks-rti-im-60-sekunden-fenster.html · 2026-10-07
LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Auf dem Vorhersagemarkt wird der XRP-Preis für den 7. Oktober 2026 um 16:00 Uhr EDT über einen genau definierten Abrechnungsmechanismus festgelegt. Entscheidend ist der Real-Time Index von CF Benchmarks (RTI), der kontinuierliche Kursdaten liefert. Die Marktauflösung erfolgt über den einfachen Durchschnitt der CF-Benchmarks-Werte in den 60 Sekunden vor dem festgelegten Zeitpunkt. […] ... den vollständigen Artikel »XRP-Vorhersagemarkt: Abrechnung nach CF Benchmarks RTI im 60-Sekunden-Fenster« lesen Dieser Beitrag XRP-Vorhersagemarkt: Abrechnung nach CF Benchmarks RTI im 60-Sekunden-Fenster erschien als erstes auf IT BOLTWISE x Artificial Intelligence .
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Tops $83,024.98 on Exchanges ↗
https://themarketsdaily.com/2026/10/07/bitcoin-btc-price-tops-83024-98-on-exchanges.html · 2026-10-07
Bitcoin (BTC) traded 3.6% lower against the dollar during the one day period ending at 10:00 AM ET on October 7th. During the last week, Bitcoin has traded down 0.8% against the dollar. Bitcoin has a total market capitalization of $1.67 trillion and approximately $37.09 billion worth of Bitcoin was traded on exchanges in the […]
Bitcoin Standard Hashrate Token (BTCST) Hits 24 Hour Volume of $52.82 ↗
https://tickerreport.com/banking-finance/13607829/bitcoin-standard-hashrate-token-btcst-hits-24-hour-volume-of-52-82.html · 2026-10-03
Bitcoin Standard Hashrate Token (BTCST) traded down 1.5% against the US dollar during the 1-day period ending at 8:00 AM Eastern on October 3rd. Bitcoin Standard Hashrate Token has a market capitalization of $128.59 thousand and $52.82 worth of Bitcoin Standard Hashrate Token was traded on exchanges in the last 24 hours. One Bitcoin Standard […]
Vorhersagemarkt zu XRP: Preisziel am 3. Oktober 2026 um 20:00 Uhr EDT ↗
https://it-boltwise.de/vorhersagemarkt-zu-xrp-preisziel-am-3-oktober-2026-um-2000-uhr-edt.html · 2026-10-04
LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Ein neuer Vorhersagemarkt koppelt den XRP-Preis am 3. Oktober 2026 um 20:00 Uhr EDT an einen fest definierten Referenzindex. Die Marktauflösung basiert auf dem einfachen Durchschnitt der CF-Benchmarks-Real-Time-Indexwerte der 60 Sekunden unmittelbar vor dem Zielzeitpunkt. Damit wird die Abrechnung weniger vom einzelnen Tick abhängig, sondern stärker von der kurzfristigen Preiszone um […] ... den vollständigen Artikel »Vorhersagemarkt zu XRP: Preisziel am 3. Oktober 2026 um 20:00 Uhr EDT« lesen Dieser Beitrag Vorhersagemarkt zu XRP: Preisziel am 3. Oktober 2026 um 20:00 Uhr EDT erschien als erstes auf IT BOLTWISE x Artificial Intelligence .
3 retrieved but not cited
High School Sports Schedule For Thursday, October 8, 2026 ↗
VOLLEYBALL NON-LEAGUE Archbold @ Toledo Central Catholic 5:30pm Miller City @ Bryan 5:30pm Toledo Christian @ Delta 5:30pm Tinora @ Wauseon 5:30pm BBC North Central @ Hilltop 5:30pm Edon @ Montpelier 5:30pm Fayette @ Stryker 5:30pm Pettisville @ Holgate 5:30pm BOYS SOCCER NWOAL Bryan @ Delta 5pm Lib
Adjudicated 5d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.