BTC price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $81,750 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-08T21:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 6d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 81749.99 at 5 PM EDT on Oct 8, 2026.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks
Form the evidence must take. The official CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) data for the sixty seconds before 5 PM EDT on Oct 8, 2026, as published by CF Benchmarks. The rules state: 'the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'
Does not count.
- Any price data from sources other than CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), such as Google, Coinbase, or other exchanges.
- Any average computed from a different time period or different number of seconds.
- Any price data that is not the official CF Benchmarks BRTI for the specified time.
Deadline. 2026-10-08T17:00:00-04:00
- BRTI — CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index
- simple average — arithmetic mean of the 60 one-second readings
- above 81749.99 — strictly greater than 81749.99
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The current time is before the 5 PM EDT deadline, and no official CF Benchmarks BRTI data for the required 60-second window has been supplied, so the outcome cannot yet be established.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) values for the 60 seconds before 5 PM EDT on Oct 8, 2026, averaged to determine whether the result is above $81,749.99. No such CF Benchmarks data has been provided.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Official CF Benchmarks BRTI data published by CF Benchmarks for the 60 seconds before 5 PM EDT on Oct 8, 2026, showing the simple average is either above or not above $81,749.99.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 5d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.