polyrag

← Decided

BTC price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $82,000 or above

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-08T21:00 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy NO price moved 86 → 6 in the last 48h bid 0.060 / ask 0.070 6.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. we have no price history for this contract, so we cannot say whether the market moved before or after the evidence appeared.

What the contract requires

Condition. The simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT on Oct 8, 2026 is above 81999.99.

Named authority. CF Benchmarks

Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration, as published or recorded by CF Benchmarks. The rules state: 'the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT'.

Does not count.

Deadline. 2026-10-08T17:00:00-04:00

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

No evidence provided includes the required CF Benchmarks BRTI average for Oct 8, 2026 at 5 PM EDT. The deadline has not passed (current time is 20:49 UTC on Oct 8), and the relevant data is not in the sources.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the simple average of the last 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT on Oct 8, 2026, as published or recorded by CF Benchmarks. None of the provided sources contain this data.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

CF Benchmarks publishing the official simple average of the 60 seconds of BRTI before 5 PM EDT on Oct 8, 2026, showing whether it is above $81,999.99.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited
XRP-Vorhersagemarkt: Abrechnung nach CF Benchmarks RTI im 60-Sekunden-Fenster ↗
LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Auf dem Vorhersagemarkt wird der XRP-Preis für den 7. Oktober 2026 um 16:00 Uhr EDT über einen genau definierten Abrechnungsmechanismus festgelegt. Entscheidend ist der Real-Time Index von CF Benchmarks (RTI), der kontinuierliche Kursdaten liefert. Die Marktauflösung erfolgt ü
Introducing Hermes Index: an average of benchmarks measuring model performance in Hermes Agent. Our goal with Hermes Index is to better inform users choosing between models and to show labs how they perform in Hermes. portal.nousresearch.com/bench ↗
Introducing Hermes Index: an average of benchmarks measuring model performance in Hermes Agent. Our goal with Hermes Index is to better inform users choosing between models and to show labs how they perform in Hermes. portal.nousresearch.com/bench We do this using an index of four benchmarks. One is
Bitcoin’s LTH-MVRV Index Reflects Profitability ↗
Bitcoin's long-term holders remain profitable, a trend not seen since 2015. This could shift market dynamics. The post Bitcoin’s LTH-MVRV Index Reflects Profitability appeared first on Coinfomania .
Bitcoin Returned 37% & Top 100 Pokémon Cards Returned 119%: An Index That Tracks Them ↗
Alternative assets get compared to Bitcoin because Bitcoin is the benchmark for “something that did not exist as an investment twenty years ago.” By that measure, one of the better-performing alternatives of the last half-decade has been a stack of printed cardboard. The index CardTrack runs a tradi
Second Talent Reports 52% Rise in APAC AI Hiring Demand in Updated Salary Index ↗
The August 2026 index update provides regional hiring benchmarks as Co-founder & CEO Elton Chan examines the skills needed to move AI into production
Logan County filings October 2, 2026 ↗
The following actions were filed in the District Court of Logan County on October 2, 2026. Criminal Felony (CF) CF-2026-118State of Oklahoma v. OREILLY, JUSTIN...
Inverclyde Historical Society talk to explore causes of the American Civil War ↗
Inverclyde Historical Society will host a talk on the causes of the American Civil War in Greenock on October 8.
Echoes of the Human Condition — Arash Shoveiri at SLCC ↗
SALT LAKE CITY October 8–November 20, 2026 Opening Reception: Thursday, October 8, 5–7 p.m. In this solo exhibition, Arash Shovieri presents large-scale surreal oil paintings that place archetypal and possibly supernatural figures from different historical and geographic contexts alongside contempor

Adjudicated 5d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.