polyrag

← Decided

BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 7am EDT? — $82,500 or above

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-09T11:00

undecided medium confidence not the named source buy NO price moved 85 → 7 in the last 48h bid 0.070 / ask 0.080 7.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. we have no price history for this contract, so we cannot say whether the market moved before or after the evidence appeared.

What the contract requires

Condition. The market resolves to Yes if the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 7 AM EDT on Oct 9, 2026 is above 82499.99 (i.e., 82500 or above).

Named authority. CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI)

Form the evidence must take. The official and final value must be the average of 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration, as published or determined by CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI). The rules state: 'At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'

Does not count.

Deadline. Oct 9, 2026 7:00 AM EDT

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

No evidence from the named authority (CF Benchmarks) has been provided, and the deadline has passed. Without the official BRTI average, it is impossible to determine whether the condition was met.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 7 AM EDT on Oct 9, 2026. None of the provided sources contain or cite CF Benchmarks' official BRTI data; the only price mention (around $82,300) is from a third-party article and does not meet the form or authority requirements.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

The official CF Benchmarks BRTI 60-second average value for the minute before 7 AM EDT on Oct 9, 2026, as published by CF Benchmarks.

Sources it was read from · 1 cited

Le cours de Bitcoin signale une tendance haussière cachée malgré un problème à 96 % ↗
https://fr.beincrypto.com/bitcoin-prix-signal-tendance-haussiere-cachee · 2026-10-09
Le prix de Bitcoin (BTC) s’échange autour de 82 300 $, restant en hausse d’environ 28 % sur trois mois malgré la baisse de cette semaine. Un signal de momentum caché sur le graphique journalier suggère que la tendance haussière pourrait perdurer. La contrepartie, c’est que les achats des détenteurs de long terme ont chuté
7 retrieved but not cited
XRP-Vorhersagemarkt: Abrechnung nach CF Benchmarks RTI im 60-Sekunden-Fenster ↗
LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Auf dem Vorhersagemarkt wird der XRP-Preis für den 7. Oktober 2026 um 16:00 Uhr EDT über einen genau definierten Abrechnungsmechanismus festgelegt. Entscheidend ist der Real-Time Index von CF Benchmarks (RTI), der kontinuierliche Kursdaten liefert. Die Marktauflösung erfolgt ü
Bitcoin Market Capitalization Tops $1.70 trillion (BTC) ↗
Bitcoin (BTC) traded 1.5% lower against the U.S. dollar during the twenty-four hour period ending at 10:00 AM E.T. on October 3rd. Over the last week, Bitcoin has traded 0.9% higher against the U.S. dollar. Bitcoin has a total market capitalization of $1.70 trillion and approximately $25.59 billion
Vorhersagemarkt zu XRP: Preisziel am 3. Oktober 2026 um 20:00 Uhr EDT ↗
LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Ein neuer Vorhersagemarkt koppelt den XRP-Preis am 3. Oktober 2026 um 20:00 Uhr EDT an einen fest definierten Referenzindex. Die Marktauflösung basiert auf dem einfachen Durchschnitt der CF-Benchmarks-Real-Time-Indexwerte der 60 Sekunden unmittelbar vor dem Zielzeitpunkt. Dami
East-Current Conditions ↗
East Region Current Conditions as of 02:01 AM EDT Wednesday, October 7, 2026
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Price Down 6.9% Over Last 7 Days ↗
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) traded down 1.5% against the dollar during the 1 day period ending at 9:00 AM E.T. on October 3rd. In the last week, Bitcoin Cash has traded down 6.9% against the dollar. One Bitcoin Cash coin can currently be bought for approximately $311.80 or 0.00367499 BTC on popular cryptocur
Coastal Flood Advisory issued October 7 at 9:03AM EDT until October 7 at 10:00PM EDT by NWS Wilmington NC ↗
Issued: Wed Oct 7 | 9:03 AMIn effect for: Inland New HanoverSevere: MinorCertainty: LikelyUrgency: Expected* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation ...

Adjudicated 4d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.