BTC price on Oct 12, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — $82,500 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-12T20:00
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 1d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 4 PM EDT on October 12, 2026 is above 82499.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks
Form the evidence must take. The average of 60 RTI prices collected from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) during the last minute before expiration at 4 PM EDT. The rules state: 'the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'
Does not count.
- Price from Google or Coinbase or any other source not based on CF Benchmarks' BRTI
Deadline. 2026-10-12T16:00:00-04:00
- BRTI — CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index
- BTI price — simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 4 PM EDT
The venue's own resolution text, verbatim
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 4 PM EDT is above 82499.99 at 4 PM EDT on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
What the sources establish
All provided sources discuss XRP prediction markets, not Bitcoin. No source contains the required CF Benchmarks BRTI average for Bitcoin on the specified date and time.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 4 PM EDT on October 12, 2026. No evidence provides any BRTI data or CF Benchmarks publication.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A direct publication from CF Benchmarks showing the average of 60 BRTI prices for Bitcoin in the minute before 4 PM EDT on October 12, 2026, or an official settlement announcement from the market operator referencing that data.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 1d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.