polyrag

← Decided

BTC price on Sep 7, 2026 at 12pm EDT? — $78,900 or above

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-07T16:00

undecided high confidence not the named source buy NO price moved 87 → 8 in the last 48h bid 0.080 / ask 0.090 8.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. we have no price history for this contract, so we cannot say whether the market moved before or after the evidence appeared.

What the contract requires

Condition. The simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 12 PM EDT on Sep 7, 2026 is above 78899.99.

Named authority. CF Benchmarks

Form the evidence must take. Official CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) data for the last 60 seconds before 12 PM EDT on Sep 7, 2026, specifically the average of those 60 one-second prices. The rules state: 'the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'

Does not count.

Deadline. 2026-09-07T12:00:00 EDT

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

The current time is 15:56:26Z, about 3.5 minutes before the 16:00:00Z deadline, so the settlement window has not even completed; moreover, none of the evidence cites CF Benchmarks BRTI data for Sep 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the simple average of the 60 one-second CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) prices immediately before 12:00 PM EDT on Sep 7, 2026, and that CF Benchmarks data is the only acceptable evidence. The provided sources do not contain any BRTI data or official CF Benchmarks settlement value.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

Official CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) data showing the 60 one-second prices from 11:59:00 to 12:00:00 EDT on Sep 7, 2026, and their simple average, published by CF Benchmarks on or after the deadline.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited
Swingové obchodování bitcoinu 7.9.2026 ↗
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Bitcoin ETFs Add $3.8B Over Three Weeks As IBIT And FBTC Lead ↗
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Bitcoin Prognose September 2026 nach dem Bruch der 80.000 Dollar Marke ↗
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XRP-Preisvorhersage im Handelsmarkt: So werden die 12-Uhr-ET-Kontrakte aufgelöst ↗
LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Ein neuartiger Prognosemarkt macht aus dem XRP-Kurs am 5. September 2026 um 12:00 Uhr EDT eine handelbare Wette. Die Abrechnung basiert auf dem CF-Benchmarks-Real-Time-Index (RTI) und einem fest definierten Zeitfenster von 60 Sekunden. Entscheidend ist, ob der Kurs genau zum Z
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LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Ein Krypto-Vorhersagemarkt setzt auf den XRP-Preis am 4. September 2026 um 23:00 Uhr EDT. Für die Abrechnung zählt ein klar definierter Schwellenwert über mehreren Stufen, verknüpft mit einem Real-Time Index. Entscheidend ist der exakte Zeitpunkt: Es wird ein Durchschnitt der

Adjudicated 36d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.